Month: May 2011

Are German banks in worse shape than the French?

Today S&P downgraded the giant French bank Credit Agricole (GCA). The reason given is GCA’s massive exposure to Greek debts.  Credit Agricole is sitting on a volcanoe of Greek debt and also owns Greece’s Emporiki bank which means it is therefore potentially on the hook for Emporiki’s insolvency as well. Not a surprise then that the French …

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Newsflash! – Economists continue to be ‘surprised’.

For those of you wondering if our ‘recovery’ is on track and if our future’s are being assured by those smartest men in the room. In April the Philadelphia Fed’s index of manufacturing in its area stood at 18.5. (These indexes are compiled by regular surveys)  “Economists polled by MarketWatch had expected the gauge to …

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The New Normal

There seem to be to be two broad narratives of our present situation. The dominant, official narrative, is that there was a technical crisis of money flow, precipitated by a bolus of bad debts which then caused a collapse of confidence in the value of several large asset classes. What was required was to show that …

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