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	<title>Portugal &#8211; Golem XIV &#8211; Thoughts</title>
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		<title>A word about banks and the laundering of drug money</title>
		<link>https://www.golemxiv.co.uk/2012/08/a-word-about-banks-and-the-laundering-of-drug-money/</link>
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		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Golem XIV]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 18 Aug 2012 12:42:18 +0000</pubDate>
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					<description><![CDATA[I just wanted to write a quick note about HSBC and money laundering. When we hear of a bank caught money laundering there is a tendency, gently encouraged I think, by the banks and the media, to think of it as we would if we heard of someone in our street having been caught fencing &#8230;<p class="read-more"> <a class="" href="https://www.golemxiv.co.uk/2012/08/a-word-about-banks-and-the-laundering-of-drug-money/"> <span class="screen-reader-text">A word about banks and the laundering of drug money</span> Read More &#187;</a></p>]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I just wanted to write a quick note about HSBC and money laundering.</p>
<p>When we hear of a bank caught money laundering there is a tendency, gently encouraged I think, by the banks and the media, to think of it as we would if we heard of someone in our street having been caught fencing stolen goods.  We would think &#8211; &#8216;Ah, so there is the crook among us&#8217;, and by unspoken extension assume that since he&#8217;s the crook the rest of us aren&#8217;t.  Not unreasonable when dealing with people, but entirely misplaced when thinking of banks.</p>
<p>That might seem a rather sweeping generalization but it isn&#8217;t.  The drugs business is huge and mostly in our countries. The drug producing nations are relatively minor players in the financial side of the drug business. Most of the drug money is made , moved and stored/banked/invested outside the producing countries but inside ours.</p>
<p><a href="http://www.tdpf.org.uk/MediaNews_FactResearchGuide_SizeOfTheDrugMarket.htm" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Latest official figures estimate</a>,</p>
<blockquote><p> In the 2005 World Drugs Report the UNODC put the value [of the global drug trade] at US$13bn at production level, $94bn at wholesale level and US$332bn based upon retail prices.</p></blockquote>
<p>The critical thing to note here is not the figures, large as they are, but the careful break down of the trade into production, wholesale and retail. There is the tendency in the news and newspapers to talk just about &#8216;the drug trade&#8217;. This piece of laziness is useful because it conjures up pictures of Mexican murders and Colombian jungles.  Rather than what it should conjure up, images of smart bankers in London and New York.</p>
<p>Let&#8217;s look at the breakdown more carefully. Production is the third world part of the trade. It is also the smallest by far. It is the total money involved in making the stuff, paying the farmers and processors as well as those who begin the shipment towards the export centres and, of course those who have to be paid off to make sure the war on drugs is never won. Only a part of that $13 billion is actual profit. But it is still13 billion which is far too big to stuff under any mattress. So we can be sure that the bulk of those billions is banked.</p>
<p>That means in the producing nations there must be businesses willing to accept the drug money (Casinos are a favourite) , a network of businesses who will provide services and products such as cellophane and cardboard suppliers, trucks and boat rental companies, a whole range of  import/export companies and, of course,  all those up-market professionals like accountants who work in them. Whenever I go to Lima I laugh at the sheer brazenness of streets where for every casino there is a bank just across from it.</p>
<p>Like any commodity, once the drugs make their way to the export centres they move from Production to Wholesale. At some point a wholesaler, who has deep pockets, the ability to store and move the product and contacts in retail, gets involved. Of course this may be part of the same business empire that also produces the stuff. Many businesses are vertically integrated. But it is worth still making the distinction, not only because different people and services come in to play but also because a different set of financial institutions must be called upon.</p>
<p>Once the drugs move countries local banks are of no use. The business now needs the services of international banks who can transfer money across the world and into banks in other nations. Needless to say these banks tend to be big banks &#8211; our banks. So to give an example, cocaine produced in Peru will first use local banks. They will be banks with local branches such as <a title="Banco de Crédito del Perú" href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Banco_de_Cr%C3%A9dito_del_Per%C3%BA">Banco de Crédito del Perú</a> and <a title="BBVA Continental" href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/BBVA_Continental">BBVA Continental</a>. Some of you may read that last name and be thinking, &#8216;That&#8217;s not a local bank that&#8217;s a Spanish bank&#8217;. I know, I know, bear with me. We&#8217;ll come back to them soon.</p>
<p>Once we get to the export centre we have new expenses and business to conduct. We need to charter planes and boats. Remember at this point we&#8217;re not yet importing in to the retail network inside the US and Europe. We are transferring the drugs from the producer nation into the wholesale transport routes. For Peruvian cocaine much of this now goes through Brazil and Venezuela and then over to Africa&#8217;s West coast. That coast, from Mauritania down to Togo, is a perfect drug route because it is close to S. America, thus smaller planes can make the crossing, has little coastal policing and is by and large an area where the three currencies of dollars, drugs and violence are all accepted as payment. As <a href="http://m.theglobeandmail.com/news/world/worldview/coup-in-guinea-bissau-shines-a-light-on-powerful-west-african-drug-trade/article4100045/?service=mobile" target="_blank" rel="noopener">The Globe and Mail</a> reported earlier this year,</p>
<blockquote><p>An investigation by the United Nations drug-control agency has estimated that up to 2,200 pounds of cocaine is flown into Guinea-Bissau every night, and more arrives by sea. About 50 drug lords from Colombia are based in Guinea-Bissau, controlling the cocaine trade and bribing the military and politicians to protect it, the UN investigation found.</p>
<p>Across the region, an estimated 50 tons of cocaine is transported through West Africa every year, mostly from Colombia and Venezuela, destined for the lucrative street trade in Europe.</p></blockquote>
<p>The report continued,</p>
<blockquote><p>Another key drug route is northern Mali,&#8230;The smugglers in Mali transport huge quantities of drugs through the Sahara desert and eventually to Mediterranean ports, where they are shipped to Europe.</p>
<p>The most dramatic sign of the Sahara smuggling route was the discovery of a burned-out wreck of a Boeing 727 jet airplane in a remote corner of northern Mali in 2009.</p>
<p>According to UN officials, the Boeing carried a cargo of cocaine and other illegal goods from Venezuela. Its crew landed it on a makeshift runway in Mali’s desert, and then unloaded as much as 10 tonnes of cocaine. After the plane was emptied, the traffickers apparently set it on fire, either because it was damaged or because it wasn&#8217;t needed any more.</p></blockquote>
<p>That is wholesale, &#8216;drug style&#8217;. It requires big money, which in turn requires big banks. You cannot rent or buy a jet with cash. You have to have a business which can deal with such things as permits, maintenance and fuel companies. That business, even if it doesn&#8217;t have an office, will need a bank account.</p>
<p>When you are in Lima and your client in is Guinea-Bissau, you don&#8217;t exchange paper bags of greasy cash. You arrange bank transfers. Which means a smart, well educated man in an air conditioned office has to know that, in Guinea-Bissau there is someone who needs to pay another someone in Lima or Venezuela many millions of dollars or Euros. What does he think? A large rental of deck chairs in a holiday resort? I don&#8217;t think so.</p>
<p>That banker will then be asked to move that money from Guinea-Bissau to some where else. Probably to some other bank.</p>
<p>So who are the banks of Africa&#8217;s west coast? Well Portugal has a big presence in Angola. The President, his friends and his daughter own and run most of the banking sector as I wrote about in <a href="https://www.golemxiv.co.uk/2012/06/the-eurofiscal-corruption-contest-the-portuguese-entry/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">The Eurofiscal Corruption Contest – The Portuguese Entry</a>. France too has a certain presence in the Francophone countries. A more recent and interesting player is Ecobank. Now, it is not the done thing to ever point a finger at Ecobank because it is the only pan African bank run by Africans and as such is seen as a shining example of Africans asserting their independence and struggling to give Africa what it deserves, its own financial muscle. And I agree with all of that in principle. But a bank run by Africans is no more nor less likely to be targeted by criminals, and to harbour its own criminals, than a western bank.</p>
<p><a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ecobank" target="_blank" rel="noopener">EcoBank operates in 30 nations in Africa</a> with a very heavy presence on the West coast from Mali to Togo. But it is not all African. Its largest shareholder, holding nearly 19% of the bank, is a financial vehicle registered, I think, in South Africa, created and run by Renaissance Direct Investment. Renaissance Direct Investment is part of the <a href="http://www.rengroup.com/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Renaissance Group </a>. Renaissance Group is a Russian company, which prides itself on being a leading, if not the, leading investment company in Africa, but which is run, half and half, by Russians and White Westerners.  Not that being white or  a westerner is a crime. But nevertheless Renaissance, a Russian investment bank, owns 19% of EcoBank. Again not a crime.</p>
<p>Ecobank is a major presence in all the countries where one of the largest sources of cash is Drug money. (The other in those countries is oil.) And that cash money must be banked somewhere. Cash is NOT put in bags and transported to Europe. It is banked where the drugs land. And remember the wholesale slice of the global drug trade is estimated at $94  Billion a large slice of which flows through Ecobank&#8217;s patch.</p>
<p>So, for the lawyers who may be reading, let me be very clear I am not accusing Ecobank of any wrong-doing at all. I am merely noting that a vast amount of drug money is around in the nations where Ecobank among others (such as the Angolan/Portuguese banks) operate. It could be that despite doing business in a river of dirty money not one single cent of it passes into Ecobank. This would be much the same argument as was put to me many years ago when I visited the City Police anti-money laundering division in the City of London who told me with absolutely straight faces that despite London being the centre of international banking, not a single penny of laundered or drug money entered the City banks. I kid you not that is what they said to me. I asked them if they thought I was on day release from a special needs school. They did not laugh.</p>
<p>Now when we left the drugs, they were in Guinea-Bissau and the money was banked in whatever banks were on hand with large enough operations to be able to handle the amounts.  Now, the drugs are put on lorries and moved north across the Sahara. The money needs to be moved through shell companies and either invested in lucrative African developments, or shifted to some more &#8216;respectable&#8217; financial centre where more investment opportunities are on offer.</p>
<p>The drugs will head to the coast of the Med. One popular route is up to the Spanish enclaves of Ceuta and Mellilo which I wrote about in <a href="https://www.golemxiv.co.uk/2011/05/money-laundering-and-drugs-in-romania-and-spain/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Money Laundering and Drugs in Romania and Spain</a>. These enclaves are small, cause all sorts of immigration troubles for Spain, make a mockery of the Spanish government&#8217;s righteous indignation over Gibraltar, but are held on to tenaciously. Why? Well a clue might be that they are stuffed with branches of Spain&#8217;s major banks all offering funds transfer and private banking services in a place where nearly all the actual residents are dirt poor. So whose money are the banks banking? Who in Ceuta or Mellio has so much spare cash that their money needs &#8216;transferring&#8217;? And who feels the need for &#8216;private wealth management services&#8217;?  I don&#8217;t know, but the bankers in those places, in those &#8216;respectable banks&#8217;, do. They speak to the mystery people who have all the cash that needs banking, meet them, shake their hands and bank their money, knowing what that money is. And their colleagues across in Europe accept it in turn and mix it safely in to the world of European banking and finance.</p>
<p>In a liquidity crisis a cash business is the kind you want to attract to your bank. And drugs are the largest cash business in the world.</p>
<p>BBVA and Santander are the big Spanish banks and BBVA has appeared already in this story, back in Lima.  Funny that.  While Santander and BBVA also have large operations in &#8230;Mexico. No drug connection there I can think of. Except, of course, that both <a href="http://rense.com/general28/money.htm" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Citi</a> and <a href="http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2012/jun/02/western-banks-colombian-cocaine-trade" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Wachovia</a> laundered very large amounts of drug money in Mexico. How could I forget. See also <a href="https://www.golemxiv.co.uk/2011/04/money-laundering-and-the-moral-world-of-bankers/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Money Laundering and the Moral World of Bankers</a>. And then of course there is HSBC.</p>
<p>Now we are on the subject of properly Western banks lets move finally to retail. The retail end of the global drug trade is by far the largest, at an estimated $332 billion.  Billion with a B. Now given that no one pays for their drugs on their Visa card, most if not all of this is cash. As the money moves up the chain the piles of cash become too large, plus, what the drug businesses want to do with all this money, is also too &#8216;legit&#8217; for cash to be an option. So ALL of it has to be banked one way or another. Trunks of cash are not exported from the UK back to Lima. Nor is there a river of cash flowing from America to Colombia or Mexico. Some? yes. Much? No. The rest get&#8217;s washed in London and New York. And the people who do it are criminals.</p>
<p>They are also very wealthy, very arrogant, and they have friends in government , the police and the judiciary.</p>
<p>Up and down the UK, cash businesses are guilty, every day of accepting drug money in to their cash earnings, banked as their own profits and then &#8216;paid&#8217; back to the drug pushers minus a percentage. Up and down the country banks accept large cash deposits from pizza shops which are doing unbelievably good business. No one asks. Where there are slot machines or casinos there is money laundering.  Where there is gambling and betting there is money laundering. Accountants launder. Lawyers launder. All of them? Of course not. Enough of them to suggest an endemic culture of criminality in those professions? I belive so and so do others (Take a look at various publications by Prof. Prem Sikka).</p>
<p><a href="http://www.tdpf.org.uk/MediaNews_FactResearchGuide_SizeOfTheDrugMarket.htm" target="_blank" rel="noopener">A report published by the Home Office</a> in 2006 estimated the UK drugs market to be worth £4.645bn in 2003/4. Most of that £4.6 billion had to have been banked. Not just in one year, but that amount EVERY year. Year after year. That bit does not get talked about so much. £4.6 Billion a year is more than a rogue teller or two. When we get to retail in the West we are NOT just talking about banking a fist full of tenners from a dirty looking user/pusher. We are talking about the people the pushers work for, the people they in turn work for and the businesses that they &#8216;work for&#8217; or own, which then use that money for &#8216;legit&#8217; investments, such as buying luxury property in London.</p>
<p>When it was found that Citi had been laundering Mexican drug money, it also revealed how the brother of the then President Salinas, had a private banking agreement with Citi. When the shit hit the fan that banker, <a href="http://rense.com/general28/money.htm" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Amy Elliot, told her colleagues</a>,</p>
<blockquote><p>&#8230;this goes in the very, very top of the corporation, this was known&#8230;on the very top. We are little pawns in this whole thing&#8221;</p></blockquote>
<p>What did Citi do for Salinas? According to t<a href="http://www.gao.gov/archive/1999/os99001.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">he official US government report</a> into the &#8216;affair&#8217;,</p>
<blockquote><p>Mr. Salinas was able to transfer $90 million to $100 million between 1992 and 1994 by using a private banking relationship formed by Citibank New York in 1992.</p>
<p>The funds were transferred through Citibank Mexico and Citibank New York to private banking investment accounts in Citibank London and Citibank Switzerland. Beginning in mid-1992, Citibank actions assisted Mr. Salinas with these transfers and effectively disguised the funds’ source and destination, thus breaking the funds’ paper trail. Citibank.</p></blockquote>
<p>More specifically Citi,</p>
<blockquote><p>• set up an offshore private investment company named Trocca, to hold Mr. Salinas’s assets, through Cititrust (Cayman)9 and investment accounts in Citibank London and Citibank Switzerland;</p>
<p>• waived bank references for Mr. Salinas and did not prepare a financial profile on him or request a waiver for the profile, as required by then Citibank know your customer policy;</p>
<p>• facilitated Mrs. Salinas’s use of another name to initiate fund transfers in Mexico; and</p>
<p>• had funds wired from Citibank Mexico to a Citibank New Yorkconcentration account—a business account that commingles funds from various sources—before forwarding them to Trocca’s offshore Citibank investment accounts.</p></blockquote>
<p>Know your customer, anti money-laundering requirements?  Don&#8217;t make me laugh.</p>
<p>These are the sorts of things that the Spanish Banks and the Portuguese banks and Ecobank, IF they were laundering money, would do for any clients of theirs. Have they?  I have no idea.  Wachovia did. Citi did. HSBC did.</p>
<p>The reality is that drugs are a massive banking business. And it is also a fact that the bulk of that business is done in the industrial nations, in their banks, NOT in the drug producing nations.  The Drugs business is mostly a western business. It&#8217;s a banking busness. Not unlike global mining where the mines are in the third world but the mining companies are listed and work in London.</p>
<p>A recent study on the Colombian drug trade <a href="http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2012/jun/02/western-banks-colombian-cocaine-trade" target="_blank" rel="noopener">reported in The Guardian</a> found</p>
<blockquote><p> &#8230;that 2.6% of the total street value of cocaine produced remains within the country, while a staggering 97.4% of profits are reaped by criminal syndicates, and laundered by banks, in first-world consuming countries.</p></blockquote>
<p>If that study is anywhere near accurate then the fact is the drug business is our business. We, the rich West, use it, we finance it, we provide the laundering services for it, and we then use the money it generates to feed the financial system. That money keeps our banks going, especially in &#8216;hard times. That money is what is used by the financial industry to speculate with, to buy up sovereign assets with, to speculate on food with. That money helps create their bonuses and pays off our politicians in &#8216;soft donations&#8217; and &#8216;access to decision makers&#8217;.</p>
<p>The drug money laundering business is a staple and important part of global banking. Money laundering is one of the things bankers do well. They should, they practice every day. It is not a one off rogue teller or rogue ofice. It is not something the bank does once and never again. Amex did it many times. HSBC has a history.  You only have to go back to the murkey and bloody AGIP affair to find the same names and the same widespread conspiracy to commit financial and legal crimes. Dig deep enough and you&#8217;ll find the names of politicians, senior ones and find yourself meeting some of the people who make sure the truth of such matters does not come out and whose job it is to protect the guilty and do their dirty work.</p>
<p>Drug money, criminal at the start of its journey, is still crminal at its &#8216;respectsble&#8217; end. Drug Money is criminal and dirty no matter how many times it is laundered, by no matter how many banks. The bankers know this better than anyone. Yet they do it every day, every week, every year and every decade in every major financial centre and everyone knows it.</p>
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		<title>The Eurofiscal Corruption Contest &#8211; The Portuguese Entry</title>
		<link>https://www.golemxiv.co.uk/2012/06/the-eurofiscal-corruption-contest-the-portuguese-entry/</link>
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		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Golem XIV]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 15 Jun 2012 12:31:14 +0000</pubDate>
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		<category><![CDATA[Portugal]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.golemxiv.co.uk/?p=1416</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Portugal&#8217;s entry in the EuroFiscal Corruption Contest is a more modest affair than Spain&#8217;s. It centres round a simple fact, which I picked up a few days ago from Bloomberg, that Isabel dos Santos, the daughter of Angola’s president, is the biggest shareholder in Portuguese cable-television company Zon Multimedia (ZON) SGPS SA, and holds 19 percent of Portuguese &#8230;<p class="read-more"> <a class="" href="https://www.golemxiv.co.uk/2012/06/the-eurofiscal-corruption-contest-the-portuguese-entry/"> <span class="screen-reader-text">The Eurofiscal Corruption Contest &#8211; The Portuguese Entry</span> Read More &#187;</a></p>]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Portugal&#8217;s entry in the EuroFiscal Corruption Contest is a more modest affair than Spain&#8217;s. It centres round a simple fact, which I picked up a few days ago from <a href="http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2012-05-29/portugal-s-asset-sales-draw-foreign-bids-boutique-firms.html" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Bloomberg</a>, that</p>
<blockquote><p>Isabel dos Santos, the daughter of Angola’s president, is the biggest shareholder in Portuguese cable-television company Zon Multimedia (ZON) SGPS SA, and holds 19 percent of Portuguese lender Banco BPI SA. (BPI)</p></blockquote>
<p>On the surface it&#8217;s an innocent sentence. Someone owns a chunk of a bank. Except that 1) the person is the daughter of the man who has been &#8216;President&#8217; of Angola since 1979, during which time he and his family have amassed a business empire currently estimated to be worth at least €1.5 billion, while <a href="http://www.afrol.com/articles/35915" target="_blank" rel="noopener">the people of Angola live in poverty </a>despite the billions in revenue from Angola&#8217;s Oil and other mineral riches, and 2) the bank she owns 19% of  is about to get a €1.5 billion bail out from the Portuguese tax payer.</p>
<p>A word about Angola&#8217;s oil revenue. <a href="http://www.hrw.org/news/2011/12/20/angola-explain-missing-government-funds" target="_blank" rel="noopener">It was reported by Human Rights Watch</a> and has subsequently been admitted by the Angolan government, that $32 billion in oil revenue ( a third of Angola&#8217;s GDP) has gone missing and cannot be accounted for.  Though a clue of what might have happened comes from a <a href="http://www.afrol.com/articles/35915" target="_blank" rel="noopener">2010 US senate report</a> into corruption and money laundering which found that ,</p>
<p><a href="https://www.golemxiv.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2012/06/luanda_skyline_sm.jpg"><img fetchpriority="high" decoding="async" class="alignleft size-medium wp-image-1438" title="luanda_skyline_sm" src="https://www.golemxiv.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2012/06/luanda_skyline_sm-234x300.jpg" alt="" width="234" height="300" srcset="https://www.golemxiv.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2012/06/luanda_skyline_sm-234x300.jpg 234w, https://www.golemxiv.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2012/06/luanda_skyline_sm.jpg 337w" sizes="(max-width: 234px) 100vw, 234px" /></a></p>
<blockquote><p>  &#8220;Aguinaldo Jaime, who served as the governor of the Angolan Central Bank from 1999 to 2002&#8230; initiated a series of suspicious US$ 50 million transactions with US banks. For each attempt, the banks, concerned about the likelihood of fraud, ultimately rejected the transfer or returned the money shortly after receiving it. During Mr Jaime&#8217;s three-year tenure as central bank governor, the government could not account for approximately US$ 2.4 billion.&#8221;</p></blockquote>
<p>The fact is that Angola is a corrupt country and Isabel dos Santos&#8217;s father has presided over it for over thirty years. During which time he and his daughters have become personally very wealthy while the Angolan people are still malnourished.</p>
<p>Now perhaps I&#8217;ve led a sheltered life, but something about Portuguese tax payers bailing out the  daughter of the President of Angola, especially given the reality of Angola, strikes me as perverse  if not outrageous. And let&#8217;s be clear this is what is happening. The bank, a private business, has got itself in deep trouble and would go bankrupt which would ruin its owners. Except that the  Portuguese government has decided to force the Portuguese tax payers to put €1.5 billion of their  money in to the bank so that it can remain profitable for its owners. I put it like that  because&#8230;that is actually how it is. Banks can and often do go bankrupt without the depositors  being effected. Bankers and politicians will always warn of the risks to ordinary people but it is their own wealth and power that they are really looking out for. Hundreds of banks have gone bankrupt in America for example and none of the depositors have lost a cent. When banks go bankrupt the people who use the bank are protected. They go in and out as usual. But the owners, the share holders, lose everything. As do the bond holders starting with the most junior and working up to the most senior, each losing their money until the banks&#8217; debts are paid off. That is how it should be. &#8216;Saving&#8217; banks is about protecting the owners, the bond holders and those politicians whose power and prestige is aligned with that of the owners, and very often also tied into the bad deals which brought the bank to its knees in the first place.</p>
<p>The point is this, if any citizen of Europe, or any ordinary person, were to walk in to Banco BPI (the bank in question) and try to deposit €10 000 in cash that transaction would be reported to the Central bank under international anti money-laundering regulations. If the central bank had suspicions they would in turn alert the relevant police authorities. But, it seems, if the daughter of the President of Angola walks in with 50 million euros, which is what her initial stake in Banco BPI cost, no one thinks to ask where that money came from.</p>
<p>For ordinary people &#8216;Where did you get the money&#8217; is the question that the law says must be answered. For the scions of the global elite it is the question that is never asked.  Which bothers me. Remind me again why ordinary people must respect and obey the law? Just run by me the philosophical justification please, for I feel it slipping away from me.</p>
<p>The Portuguese bank authorities should have asked if Isobel dos Santos was a fit and proper person to own a controlling stake in a Portuguese bank. Would anyone think it fine for Al Capone to own a bank? Why not? Because he was a gangster who stole the money he was spending? Of course, you could say Al Capone was a criminal whereas we have no proof that Isobel or her father are criminals. Her father is the president for goodness sake. Yes quite! That is what bothers me. You see I somehow doubt the €50 million she invested in Banko BPI, is covered by the President of Angola&#8217;s salary. Or is it just a standard thing that all daughters of presidents own 20% of a bank?</p>
<p>Time to take a step back and look more closely at Isobel and the dos Santos financial empire.</p>
<p>In fact Isabel owns stakes in three banks not one and may, as far as I can see, have a stake in at least two others, <a href="http://www.africandictator.org/?p=3725" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Banco Espirito Santo and  Banco de Fomento de Angola, via her and her father&#8217;s various holding companies</a>. Isabel owns 25% of Angolan Bank, Banco BIC. She also sits on its board. The bank was created in 2008. Just about the time all those billions went missing&#8230; Just saying. She owns 19% of Portugal&#8217;s Banco BPI. Actually she used to own about 10% of it but about a month before the bail out was announced <a href="http://www.portugaldailyview.com/whats-new/isabel-dos-santos-reinforces-her-presence-in-portuguese-firms" target="_blank" rel="noopener">she bought another 9.4%</a> from one of the failing Spanish banks, Caixabank for €46.7 million. BPI in turn owns a 50.1% stake in Banco de Fomento Angola. So Isabel and her father have quite a hold on banking in Angola.</p>
<p>Back in Portugal the dos Santos presence is considerable as well. Isabel also owns a large stake in another troubled Portuguese bank, Banco Portugues de Negocios. This too is a new bank having been created in 1993. It didn&#8217;t last long. In 2008 it had to be nationalized. This bank too was badly run. In fact at the point of its nationalization the man who had been its CEO from 1998 &#8211; 2007, <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Banco_Português_de_Negócios" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Jose Oliveira e Costa, was arrested</a> on charges of tax fraud, money laundering, forgery, abuse of credit and illegal gains.</p>
<p>It is worth noting that when I say &#8216;Isabel owns&#8217; this is a short hand for saying that various holding companies owned by her and her father &#8216;own&#8217;. There are several such companies the first of which was Geni Holdings. This was founded by her and her father along with Leopoldino Fragoso Nascimento, Anthony Van Dunen and Manuel Augusto da Fonseca. An august sounding group. Nascimento is a Brigadier General in the Angolan Army, van Dunen is a former secretary of the Council of Ministers in Angola and Fonseca is Head of Legal Affairs for Sanangol the Angolan state oil company. How they all became rather wealthy international businessmen on their salaries is another mystery.</p>
<p>Nascimento was recently exposed by the FT, along with another cabal of high ranking Angolan officials as having concealed shares in an oil exploration venture called Cobalt. A<a href="http://www.google.co.uk/search?client=safari&amp;rls=en&amp;q=cobalt+angola&amp;ie=UTF-8&amp;oe=UTF-8&amp;redir_esc=&amp;ei=eSrbT7u9OuLO0QWXtYn1Cg" target="_blank" rel="noopener">ccording to various FT articles in April  this year</a>,</p>
<blockquote><p>&#8230; three of the most powerful officials in Angola have held concealed interests in the Goldman Sachs-backed group’s oil venture in the African country.</p></blockquote>
<p>The company declined to comment but did not deny the story. Angola, it is worth noting, is part of the West African oil frontier that Western banks, Oil majors and nations are all scrambling to get a stake in.  Banks like Goldman Sachs, oil revenue, and Presidents who rule for 30 years and more &#8211; certainly no cause for concern there.</p>
<p>So taking a look over the above, you tell me, is Isabel dos Santos, her father and their money fit and proper to own Portuguese banks? Should the Portuguese people be taking on billions in debt and suffering austerity cuts, in order to bail them out?</p>
<p>The fact is, that Europe&#8217;s bankers do not ask where money comes from, how it was gotten, who was hurt, what blood was spilled or what misery went in to its accumulation. They do not care. But we should because we are the ones who are being forced to shoulder the cost of protecting and further enriching the entire stinking, corrupt heap.</p>
<p>When all is said and done two things remain. First, Portugal&#8217;s entry is quite modest by European standards. I have mentioned it because it is more revealed for what it is, than similar corruption in other countries. Second, much has been written about how the West needs to help the &#8216;third world&#8217; to become more like us.We like to tell ourselves that we are helping &#8216;to build their institutions&#8217;, &#8216;reduce their corruption&#8217; and export to them our values and ways of doing things. The truth however, is that via our putrid and rotten financial system and the small elite who own and run it, we have been busy importing their corruption to add to our own, allowing our institutions to become as corrupt and in-the-service of the guilded few, as theirs.</p>
<p>Remind me how wonderful our democracy is, how healthy and robust it is, how the rule of law is sacrosanct in Europe and stands ready to protect the many against the powerful few. Just remind me &#8230; if you can.</p>
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		<title>Portugal&#8217;s bond auction &#8211; behind the &#8216;Pravda&#8217; headlines</title>
		<link>https://www.golemxiv.co.uk/2011/01/portugals-bond-auction-behind-the-pravda-headlines/</link>
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		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Golem XIV]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 12 Jan 2011 12:34:00 +0000</pubDate>
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					<description><![CDATA[Reuters headline is that the yield on Portugal&#8217;s ten year debt dropped due to high demand at this auction. Which as the article goes on to suggest, averts bond disaster and lowers the pressure on Portugal. &#160;I see this as the now customary Pravda style &#8220;all news must be good news&#8221;. What the facts tell &#8230;<p class="read-more"> <a class="" href="https://www.golemxiv.co.uk/2011/01/portugals-bond-auction-behind-the-pravda-headlines/"> <span class="screen-reader-text">Portugal&#8217;s bond auction &#8211; behind the &#8216;Pravda&#8217; headlines</span> Read More &#187;</a></p>]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://www.reuters.com/article/idUSLDE70B13120110112">Reuters headline</a> is that the yield on Portugal&#8217;s ten year debt dropped due to high demand at this auction.</p>
<p>Which as the article goes on to suggest, averts bond disaster and lowers the pressure on Portugal. &nbsp;I see this as the now customary Pravda style &#8220;all news must be good news&#8221;. </p>
<p>What the facts tell us is somewhat less glorious. &nbsp;There was demand for the debt so that Portugal did sell the whole amount. &nbsp;What we don&#8217;t know is how much of that demand was actually the ECB or proxy buyers for the ECB. &nbsp;We can be fairly confident quite a lot was bought by the ECB on the grounds that the ECB has stepped up its buying of European national debt specifically to avoid a no bid and the subsequent panic in the market.</p>
<p>Once we factor in the ECB we can no longer say there was any great demand for Portugal&#8217;s debt. &nbsp;If there had been &#8216;real&#8217; demand and not the fake demand of the ECB, then we would have seen the yield and coupon (measures of the rate Portugal will pay for this borrowing) drop. We did not see any great drop. &nbsp;Despite &nbsp;ECB intervention the yield only edged down from 6.8 in November to 6.7 % now. &nbsp;That is a pathetic 0,1% drop. &nbsp;What it tells me is that despite the efforts of the ECB, the other bond buyers were not impressed or fooled and would not buy unless at very nearly the same rate as before. </p>
<p>You could say well at least the rate didn&#8217;t go up. Yes. &nbsp;The ECB achieved that. &nbsp;But a rate of 6.7% is till unsustainable for Portugal because it will not earn anything like that rate with the money it has borrowed. Portugal&#8217;s growth will be far, far below 6.7%. &nbsp;So Portugal will be paying out far more than it is earning. I.E. they will continue on their way, now a crowded way full of Greeks and Irishmen, on their way to insolvency.</p>
<p>The worse part of the auction news for Portugal was what &nbsp;happened to the rate on its shorter term debt. &nbsp;The rate on its five year debt jumped up from 4% last October to 5.396% today. &nbsp;That is a hefty increase in borrowing costs. It seem obvious to me that the ECB was buying the 10 year and left the 5 year to fend for itself. &nbsp;To my mind that means the 5 year is a better, less manipulated view of the real state of Portugal&#8217;s situation. &nbsp;And it&#8217;s not good. An increase of 1.4% in just three months is very bad indeed. &nbsp;Think of what such a rate increase would do to your mortgage payments.</p>
<p>So where the ECB stepped in, the rate dropped 0.1% &nbsp;Where it did not, the rate shot up 1.4%. The jump up was 14 times larger than the drop down.</p>
<p>Pravda reports another glorious victory for our invincible leaders. I say another division was decimated. &nbsp;You choose.</p>
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		<title>Bond market today</title>
		<link>https://www.golemxiv.co.uk/2010/09/bond-market-today/</link>
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		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Golem XIV]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 08 Sep 2010 11:34:00 +0000</pubDate>
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					<description><![CDATA[Just a quick bond market note. ftse was down about 40 points this morning as were all the other European markets. Mid morning they all went vertically up. The reason, as Market Watch printed as a headline, &#8220;Portugal sale helps spirit&#8221;. This was the news that Portugal managed to sell about one billion euros of &#8230;<p class="read-more"> <a class="" href="https://www.golemxiv.co.uk/2010/09/bond-market-today/"> <span class="screen-reader-text">Bond market today</span> Read More &#187;</a></p>]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Just a quick bond market note.</p>
<div></div>
<div><span class="blsp-spelling-corrected" id="SPELLING_ERROR_0"><span class="blsp-spelling-corrected" id="SPELLING_ERROR_0">ftse</span></span> was down about 40 points this morning as were all the other European markets. Mid morning they all went vertically up.  The reason, as <span class="blsp-spelling-corrected" id="SPELLING_ERROR_1">Market Watch</span> printed as a headline, &#8220;Portugal sale helps spirit&#8221;.  </div>
<div></div>
<div>This was the news that Portugal managed to sell about one billion euros of debt this morning. About two thirds in 3 month and one third in ten year.  So as I said yesterday there are buyers for dodgy euro debt. But equally as I argued the key is offering high interest.  </div>
<div></div>
<div>The less wonderful news about Portugal&#8217;s bond sale is this: the <span class="blsp-spelling-corrected" id="SPELLING_ERROR_3">yield</span> on the 3 month jumped from 3.6% in June to 4% now.  That is a massive jump in bond land.  The ten year was much worse.  It <span class="blsp-spelling-corrected" id="SPELLING_ERROR_4">jumped</span> from 4.1% in March to 5.9% today. Now that is a jump of <span class="blsp-spelling-corrected" id="SPELLING_ERROR_5">Olympic</span> proportions.</div>
<div></div>
<div>Yes they sold debt but the real message is how much the Bond buyers ramped up the price. Portugal isn&#8217;t going to have anything like 5% growth this year or next. <span class="blsp-spelling-corrected" id="SPELLING_ERROR_6">Probably</span> not both years combined.  So this deal makes them significantly poorer.</div>
<div></div>
<div>This is how it played out in the run up to the last EU bail out.  </div>
<div></div>
<div>Of course this view of the bond news never <span class="blsp-spelling-corrected" id="SPELLING_ERROR_7">gets</span> a mention let alone a headline. As does this <span class="blsp-spelling-corrected" id="SPELLING_ERROR_8">squib</span> from <span class="blsp-spelling-corrected" id="SPELLING_ERROR_9"><span class="blsp-spelling-corrected" id="SPELLING_ERROR_1">Bloomberg</span></span>.  <span class="blsp-spelling-corrected" id="SPELLING_ERROR_10"><span class="blsp-spelling-corrected" id="SPELLING_ERROR_2">Eurostat</span></span> the EC financial statistics compiler/watchdog (so far as toothless as your granny)  reports that it is now sure Greece is STILL not revealing its true level of debt.  <span class="blsp-spelling-corrected" id="SPELLING_ERROR_11"><span class="blsp-spelling-corrected" id="SPELLING_ERROR_3">Eurostat</span></span> accuses Greece of still hiding the real extent of the losses and debts it is facing from the Currency swap deals it did with the Big Banks.</div>
<div></div>
<div>The same banks who have been buying up the tasty yields on European debts.</div>
<div></div>
<div>What this means is that some time before Christmas, maybe late this month when <span class="blsp-spelling-corrected" id="SPELLING_ERROR_12"><span class="blsp-spelling-corrected" id="SPELLING_ERROR_4">Eurostat</span></span> officials go to Greece in person, Greece&#8217;s debt will be revised up again.  I&#8217;m wondering if we&#8217;ll find out Greece is also on the wrong end of some deals involving the Swiss Franc.  That would be just peachy.</div>
<div></div>
<div>It does also raise this question.  What kind of a valueless farce must the European Stress Tests have been if the Greek banks could pass, holding all sorts of Greek National debt on their books, while those conducting the tests didn&#8217;t have a clue about the real level of Greek debt?</div>
<div></div>
<div>Lastly I was also talking yesterday about how Bond buyers will have been buying up Euro debt like Greece&#8217;s attracted by the high <span class="blsp-spelling-corrected" id="SPELLING_ERROR_13">yields</span>. Thus &#8216;exposing&#8217; themselves to more potential catastrophe if Greece defaults or <span class="blsp-spelling-corrected" id="SPELLING_ERROR_14">restructures</span>.   As if on cue, this from <a href="http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2010-09-07/greek-debt-deals-hidden-from-eu-probed-as-400-yield-gap-shows-bond-doubts.html"><span class="blsp-spelling-corrected" id="SPELLING_ERROR_15"><span class="blsp-spelling-corrected" id="SPELLING_ERROR_5">Bloomberg</span></span></a>,</div>
<div><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: Georgia, 'Times New Roman', Times, serif; font-size: medium; line-height: 24px;"></span><br /><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: Georgia, 'Times New Roman', Times, serif; font-size: medium; line-height: 24px;"></p>
<blockquote><p>Norway’s sovereign wealth fund, the world’s second largest, said in August that it had bought Greek bonds, along with those from Spain and Portugal, because of higher yields and as those governments push to reduce their deficits.</p></blockquote>
<p></span></div>
<div>This despite a <span class="blsp-spelling-corrected" id="SPELLING_ERROR_16">growing</span> number of bond market fund <span class="blsp-spelling-corrected" id="SPELLING_ERROR_17">managers</span> saying Greek will default it is just a matter of how soon.  Of course they could be talking the market to where they want it to go for the benefit of some bet they made. But they could also be correct.  If they are, how many banks will cry about systemic catastrophe and blackmail tax payers into another vast &#8220;save the banks from collapse&#8221; bail out?</div>
<div></div>
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