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Are German banks in worse shape than the French?

Today S&P downgraded the giant French bank Credit Agricole (GCA). The reason given is GCA’s massive exposure to Greek debts.  Credit Agricole is sitting on a volcanoe of Greek debt and also owns Greece’s Emporiki bank which means it is therefore potentially on the hook for Emporiki’s insolvency as well. Not a surprise then that the French …

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Newsflash! – Economists continue to be ‘surprised’.

For those of you wondering if our ‘recovery’ is on track and if our future’s are being assured by those smartest men in the room. In April the Philadelphia Fed’s index of manufacturing in its area stood at 18.5. (These indexes are compiled by regular surveys)  “Economists polled by MarketWatch had expected the gauge to …

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The New Normal

There seem to be to be two broad narratives of our present situation. The dominant, official narrative, is that there was a technical crisis of money flow, precipitated by a bolus of bad debts which then caused a collapse of confidence in the value of several large asset classes. What was required was to show that …

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A peek into one of the deepest little cesspits in Europe

A squib from Bloomberg, quoting the German Newspaper Sueddeutsche Zeitung, “Munich prosecutors plan to file embezzlement charges against all members of Bayerische Landesbank’s former board….” Having the words “all former members” and “embezzlement charges” in the same sentence just makes my day. Ever since the worlds’ banks told us they were suddenly short of liquidity, …

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Making the New Sub Prime – Part 2 – What’s in store

In the first part, The Backdoor to China, I suggested how the central Chinese authorities had effectively lost control of bank lending and property speculation within mainland China and argued that the new and rising power in China now lay in the growing relationship between China’s regional governments and international finance operating in Hong Kong. …

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Guest post by Hawkeye – Wall Street fiddles whilst the US burns

Things are hotting up in the precious metals markets. Something is definitely brewing. The bilking continues unabated, yet far from emerging from crisis the Western economies are stagnating (at best). A few weeks back Max Keiser wrote a piece about how a “complete disregard for the rule of law is at the heart of the …

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Timisoara

On the off chance anyone would like to meet up I will be in Timisoara, Romania, on May 4th and 5th. I will be at the Hotel Timisoara.