The Head of the FED – who will it be?

The head of the U.S. FED is one of the most powerful jobs in the world. The current head, Ben Bernanke,  is stepping down,  Who will be next? The financial world, led by America’s big banks will want to be sure whoever it is ‘understands’ their needs.

Even before the nomination proceedure gets underway we can already watch the different camps jockey for position, and get a sense of which ideology is in the ascendant in America’s corridors of power and which set of prejudices will be unleashed upon, not just Americans, but the rest of us as well.

So it was with some horror that I read an article in the FT with the headline,

Larry Summers has an edge in the race to head the Federal Reserve

The article was written by Edward Luce. Luce is the Washington bureau chief of the FT. So Luce himself wields a certain clout. The FT along with the Wall Street Journal is where the worlds of finance and politics meet to find out what the other is thinking.

According to Mr Luce, Mr Summers would be the best person to become the head of the FED because,

The most important quality is intellectual leadership – something Mr Summers would offer in greater abundance than the others.

And what kind of intellectual leadership is it that so impresses Mr Luce and which Mr Summers has in such abundance? Well Mr Summers, when he was Secretary of the Treasury,  was one of the architects of the financial deregulation which set the financial world on the road to where it is now. Mr Summers was one of the most powerful proponents of the Gramm-Leach-Bliley Bill which swept away the old Glass Steagal Act and with it much of the financial regulation (including the separation between investment and commercial banks) which had kept banks in check since the Great Depression.

Evidence of  Mr Summers intellectual leadership appears in an official Treasury statement  (See footnote 11) in which he says the financial regulations of Glass Steagal were simply, “Archaic financial restrictions.”

Whereas Mr Summers said of the new Gramm-Leach-Bliley bill,

”Today Congress voted to update the rules that have governed financial services since the Great Depression and replace them with a system for the 21st century,”

Of course that was in 1999. A lot has happened since then. But nothing apparently to change Mr Summers mind on financial deregulation. Time Magazine in 2011 ran an article on Summers with the title,

Larry Summers: No Regrets on Deregulation

Mr Summers told Time Magazine,

“I’ve been more cautious than many about constraining financial innovation,” he said, adding that he didn’t believe the financial crisis had its roots in “new-fangled financial instruments” but rather in a simple real estate bubble.

Indeed Mr Summers, when he was Deputy Secretary of the Treasury in 1998, was one of those who insisted that some of the most ‘fangled’ , the OTC (Over The Counter) derivatives contracts – what Mr Warren Buffet, in 2003, was to  call Financial Weapons of Mass Destruction – should be entirely deregulated.

In 1998 he testified before Congress that as far as he was concerned,

“the parties to these kinds of contract are largely sophisticated financial institutions that would appear to be eminently capable of protecting themselves from fraud and counterparty insolvencies.”

In 2000 he added,

…it is the private sector, not the public sector, that is in the best position to provide effective supervision and reduce the likelihood that these issues rise to a level that could threaten market stability.

Sadly he was about as wrong on both these points as it is possible to be.

But never a man to underrate himself, he seems to have decided he himself was such a sophisticated financial institution. Accordingly, when he was President of Harvard, he oversaw the university enter in to $3.52 billion in OTC derivative contracts. The contracts lost $1 billion in value and Harvard had to pay termination fees to the banks it had contracted with. The university lost half a billion immediately and agreed to pay another $425 million over 30-40 years.

That was just Harvard. Next was AIG.

The insolvency and epic collapse of AIG was also, in large part, due to its massive trade in OTC derivatives.  Shortly after the destruction of AIG, George Soros came to see OTC derivatives in much the same light as Buffet.

But in 2011, intellectual powerhouse Mr Summers, was still telling Time magazine that he couldn’t  see any problem with either deregulation or new fangled financial instruments. And this is the man Mr Luce in the FT tells us would be the best man to be the next head of the FED.

Of course Mr Luce did at one time work for Mr Summers. He does mention this in the FT  article I quoted. In fact  he was  Mr Summers speech writer when Summers was Treasury Secretary under Clinton. So he more than just ‘worked for him’. He helped Mr Summers craft his message and promote his ideas.

Summers is a true believer in Globalisation and deregulated free markets. He was part of the Clinton administration that negotiated NAFTA. He spearheaded the pressure on Russia to privatize its major industries – which led directly to the collapse of living standards and life expectancy in Russia while at the  same time it created a cadre of massively corrupt and super-wealthy oligarchs. Summers’ role is described by Naomi Klein in her book The Shock Doctrine.

And finally I can’t mention Summers without remembering what he had to say about the logic of international free trade .When Summers was Chief economist of the World Bank (1990-93) he  wrote a now notorious memo which was intended for six of his senior World Bank colleagues. It was leaked.

In a section dealing with “Dirty Industries”, Summers wrote,

Just between you and me shouldn’t the World bank be encouraging more migration of the dirty industries to the LDCs (Less Developed Countries)?  (His emphasis)

He went on to say he could think of three reasons in favour. The first was,

The measurement of the costs of health impairing pollution depends on the foregone earnings from increased morbidity and mortality. From this point of view a given amount of health impairing pollution should be done in the country with the lowest cost, which will be the country with the lowest wages. I think the logic behind dumping a load of toxic waste in the lowest wage country is impeccable and we should face up to that.  ( P. 98 of “Faith and Credit – The world bank’s secular empire” by Susan George and Fabrizio Sabelli)

Or to translate – Dump pollution where workers cost little and thus little is lost when they die of the pollution.

Of course Summers complained, as politicians who have been caught saying something unpleasant always do, that the quote was ‘taken out of context’ and that it was intended as ‘highly ironic’.  Believe that if you wish.

I could believe the ‘irony’ claim if it had been said by a man who did not believe in the logic of the markets. But Mr Summers does believe, with all his wizened heart. So When he says we should face up to the grotesque logic of the market – there is no irony there at all. Why should there be any irony when Mr Summers is entirely correct about the logic of the market?

In 2006 the Dutch firm Trifigura had 500 tonnes of highly toxic waste to dispose of. The cost of treating it in Amsterdam was €1000 per cubic meter. Trifigura, however, felt ‘the logic of the market’ and shipped it all to The Ivory Coast instead. Where they off-loaded it to a local contractor. Who dumped it.

100 000 people sought medical help, 30 000 became unwell and 17 died  as a direct result.

Trifigura denied any toxic waste had been shipped from Amsterdam claiming initially that the shipment was hardly toxic at all – just traces of Hydrogen Sulfide – and that they had no idea that the waste would be disposed of improperly.

30 000 Ivorians didn’t believe them and filed a law suit in London. Trifigura was distainful and outraged that their good name should be questioned. So when the BBC broadcast a news report which claimed Trifigura had known the waste was toxic, that it would be dumped illegally and had actively covered up their role in the whole revolting affair, Trifigura declared they would sue BBC. Until, that is, the Guardian Newspaper obtained Trifigura emails which showed the traders involved had been perfectly aware from the start just how dangerous the chemicals were.

And that is the logic of the market that Mr Summers was NOT being ironic about at all.

Now, just as a thought experiment, look back at  Mr Summers memo, but for toxic waste subsitute toxic debts. And now ask yourself who Mr Summers will feel should be forced to clean it all up.

A quick look at Mr Summers professional life, his decisions, the causes he has championed, the things he has argued and worked for, all show he has personally, in every job he has ever had, forced the logic of the market upon all those unfortunate enough to be subject to his power.

If he should be appointed to be the next head of the FED why would he do any different?

If Mr Summers is appointed to the FED, or anyone like him, then surely that is as clear proof as we could possibly get that neither Wall Street nor the elite of Washington – very much including Mr Obama – have leant anything at all from the banking system collapse or the light touch, self-regulation/deregulation which incubated it.

 

36 thoughts on “The Head of the FED – who will it be?”

  1. Stephanie Flanders reporting in Jan. 2010 on an interview she had with her ex boss Summers – I liked this bit :

    “He pointed out that although we have tended to look for global rules for things like minimum bank capital standards or limits on leverage – there’s always been a wide range of institutional and regulatory arrangements for the structure of banking institutions within countries.

    Continental Europe has had its universal banks; the US, after all, had Glass-Steagall until quite recently. All that time, no-one thought there was a great need to bring the systems closer together”
    http://www.bbc.co.uk/blogs/thereporters/stephanieflanders/2010/01/summers_speaks.html

    I read that Geithner also seems to be in the running for a job ( poison chalice ? ) that might prove to be another case of hoping that the least worst is appointed, if of course, there is in fact any notable difference in any of the candidates.

  2. Sounds like an endorsement for one of the Hunt Brothers. Or maybe they could make history and be Joint Chairmen of the Fed !

    One thing is certain — if Larry Summers is being puffed by the FT – we can rest assured he will not be appointed.

    Cheers

  3. I think the most interesting thing about that is why did the FT run it?

    The front runner is Janet Yellen, Bernanke’s deputy.

    But Summers is Robert Rubin’s man, with Tim G. in the second slot.

    Granted, Obama is the willing tool of the Anglo-American banking cartel’s Wall Street chapter, but to appoint Summers would be a bit much even for him.

    1. Yes, I agree, that the FT should run it is the most interesting part. I wish I knew a little more about the political connections of those at the top of the FT these days.

  4. backwardsevolution

    Larry Summers = a world-class thief.

    Article by Charles Ferguson, creator of the movie “Inside Job”:

    “Between 2001 and his entry into the Obama administration, he made more than $20-million from the financial-services industry. (His 2009 federal financial-disclosure form listed his net worth as $17-million to $39-million.) […]

    Never once has Summers publicly apologized or admitted any responsibility for causing the crisis. And now Harvard is welcoming him back. […]

    Summers’s career is the result of an extraordinary and underappreciated scandal in American society: the convergence of academic economics, Wall Street, and political power. […]

    When Rajan finished speaking, Summers rose up from the audience and attacked him, calling him a “Luddite,” dismissing his concerns, and warning that increased regulation would reduce the productivity of the financial sector. (Ben Bernanke, Tim Geithner, and Alan Greenspan were also in the audience.) […]

    Starting in the 1980s, and heavily influenced by laissez-faire economics, the United States began deregulating financial services. Shortly thereafter, America began to experience financial crises for the first time since the Great Depression. The first one arose from the savings-and-loan and junk-bond scandals of the 1980s; then came the dot-com bubble of the late 1990s, the Asian financial crisis; the collapse of Long Term Capital Management, in 1998; Enron; and then the housing bubble, which led to the global financial crisis. Yet through the entire period, the U.S. financial sector grew larger, more powerful, and enormously more profitable. By 2006, financial services accounted for 40 percent of total American corporate profits. In large part, this was because the financial sector was corrupting the political system. But it was also subverting economics. […]

    The route to the 2008 financial crisis, and the economic problems that still plague us, runs straight through the economics discipline. And it’s due not just to ideology; it’s also about straightforward, old-fashioned money.”

    http://chronicle.com/article/Larry-Summersthe/124790/

  5. Intellectual powerhouse Mr Summers.

    Isn’t he one of the 3 dirtbags that effectively shut down Brooksley Born when she raised the alarm about OTC derivatives etc etc in the late 90’s…?

    Greenspan and co were so cocksure at the time. They got what they wanted. The real irony is that the financial sector became so deregulated that it is now large enough to fully regulate policy in any part of our life it wishes.

  6. In my mind Larry will always be known as the arch deregulator. With that I was quite ready to land a few (verbal) punches on the fella, when he, along with Ben Bernanke and Mervyn King held a lecture at the LSE in May of this year.

    I made some notes, and was (time permitting) hoping to write an article on the event, as it turned out Larry was the biggest surprise of the evening:

    “When his turn came, up stepped a barely recognisable Larry Summers. Clearly having aged since his years in office, Larry is looking quite frail and much thinner. The Central Banker’s clique is alluded to, as it turns out that Larry met Mervyn in 1975. Unlike the previous speakers, it’s clear that Larry hasn’t a formal script. He seemed to have been scribbling some notes on a pad during the preceding speeches. So what are we to be subjected to, from the world’s most accomplished banking de-regulator. Within minutes it is clear that he can hold court, with an off the cuff lecture. What neither we in the audience, nor perhaps the pannelists were quite ready for is the enormous change in mindset as profound as the change in his appearance. Economics is not like Physics, we are told, it affects its subjects and has the ability to change the world in ways which are less predictable. He then even dares to challenge the false foundations of economics, the principle of economies restoring to equilibrium.”

    I was quite surpised to say the least. Ben Bernanke looked quite surprised too! (The body language and lack of eye contact between the too men was also quite surprising). Maybe Larry can talk form both of sides of his mouth at the same time. Maybe has had a Damascene conversion, as he actually spoke about economics needing to reflect human feelings and needs. Or maybe he was pitching for the Fed role all along by giving an impression of towing an anti-establishment line (aka Obama in early 2008).

    But make up your own minds. Larry gets up to the pulpit at about minute 35, if you don’t want to watch the whole thing:

    http://www.lse.ac.uk/newsAndMedia/videoAndAudio/channels/publicLecturesAndEvents/player.aspx?id=1856

  7. And no-one – not a soul – dares to mention the absolute control exerted by the ultimate moneylenders just in case it is viewed as anti-semitic.

  8. Clarence, what are you trying to insinuate with your, “absolute control exerted by the ultimate moneylenders” comment? If you have some conception of our monetary system that is not simply run of the mill credit provision by well known financial institutions (ie credit money created with the stroke of a pen) and governments/central banks then please share it.
    Our real system is screwed up enough as it is without us needing to pretend there is some shadowy back story that everyone is avoiding mentioning. In fact I think it is very very damaging not to face up to the reality that our monetary system is our monetary system and it is OUR FAULT if it isn’t enabling the economy we ought to be providing for each other.

  9. So Ben suggests ceasing QE and then decides to do a runner. I don’t think our elites are too keen on facing the world without free money.

    Chinese blogosphere currently going beserk.

      1. Golem,

        Just to prove that nobody is perfect the meltdown was actually referring to Beckham not Bernanke. Easy mistake to make is my excuse.

        The Chinese for “liquidity Crunch” is Up Yours Hong Kong Shadow Banks.

        1. Now that made me laugh. But it is also very accurate.

          I have been wondering what sort of selling pressure this whole liquidity episode is bringing to bear upon Hong Kong held assets. Is this a way of forcing money back from hong Kong to the mainland?

          If so it could do interesting things to the balance sheets of the foreign banks operating out there.

          1. Golem,

            The intention is to force western money out of China and back to Hong Kong from whence it came. the hot inflows have been causing havoc to the Party. It is also the nature of how western money is invested.

            The problem is one of western “efficiency” and the definition of that word is problematic to say the least. Western backed factories are wiping the floor with state backed ones because they use less workers. I’m afraid this does not go down well with the Party.

            People without jobs get very uppity very quickly.

  10. Just a quick plug for David’s last talk in Manchester.

    Parts 1, 2, 3 and 4 are here:

    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aEwlKM57fRE

    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wlG6nIvPvX8

    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JLo0RpHF1vM

    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qJO_s1Q6ql4

    We also have on our channel some great interviews from the Renegade Economist featuring Steve Keen, Ann Pettifor and Positive Money among others. You can find them in our ‘Favourites’.

    Ex-Fraud Squad Officer Rowan Bosworth Davies’ talk will be up soon – we’re still having trouble with the video format.

  11. He wrote the famous essay along with Barsky “Gibson’s paradox and the Gold Standard”
    I think it is great, it describes the relationship between gold and interest rates (not only in a Gold Standard monetary system). The conclusion is that gold is the “alarm” to suppress in a fiat overleveraged world. You need to “manage” gold in order to maintain debt printing without interest rate impact. Both are related.
    He is not a fool, like Greenspan famous, never retracted phrase (20 years later, answering to Ron Paul’s question about it, he said he would not change a word) “In the absence of the gold standard, there is no way to protect savings from confiscation through inflation. There is no safe store of value”
    Mr Summers understands the mechanics but unfortunately he moved to the dark side long ago, like Alan.

  12. The Dork of Cork.

    I have come to the conclusion its much deeper then a bunch of corpulent guys seeking monopoly rents.
    Its a deeply spiritual or to be more precise – a anti spiritual force.

    Consider this exchange between Vincent Browne & the Irish central bank gov 2 years ago now.

    VB: And then of course that- On top of the EU/IMF deal they said to you that in addition to that you cannot default on even the unguaranteed debts of the banks.

    PH: I think that’s the main reason he (Brian L.) was crestfallen.

    [moment of silence]

    VB: And why did that –

    PH: It wasn’t part of the negotiations as such. There was no deal. There was no agreement on that. But there was talk around, about that [gestures circular movement with hands] And eventually the decision was [resolute tone] “No”. I think he was quite discouraged by that.

    VB: Was there no room for us to say “Well sorry, we’re not going to finance the unguaranteed debts”

    PH: It’s not in the agreement. It’s not in the agreement. I mean you know the way the world works. There’s political room. There’s no political room. No political room was offered to him BY THE PEOPLE.

    VB: What political room did he need? The deal was there. The EU/IMF deal was there. You were guaranteed the funds for three years and that was it. And you could have said “No, this isn’t part of the deal, there was no legal or moral or any other obligation, political obligation on us to do this. We won’t do it”

    Vincent Browne the famously legalistic and combative journalist never asked the simple question
    Who are these people ?
    “These People” have therefore unlimited control of politics , of fiat & are beyond critique.

    But who are these people ?

    I believe these people form at least two lines of power which intersect at a crucial node of state affairs.

    A masonic branch or sect and a Talmudic Jewish sect / elite.

    Together these two pieces of institutional “people” crucify the simple people on a cross of gold.
    Mainly out of pure badness.
    The UK & US is at the center of these forces since Tudor times and to some extent before….certainly after Waterloo these forces became all powerful.

    Where has the 19th century American agrarian greenback voices of the past gone ?
    Down a very very deep propaganda well.

    We ain’t in Kansas anymore.

    1. @Dork of Cork,

      To my mind that way of thinking is a lazy cop out. Reality is that money takes on a power of its own that subverts people of diverse backgrounds into serving money instead of ensuring that money merely serves the people. I totally agree with you that in 2008 all of the inter-financial debt should have been left to vaporize just like Lehmans. BUT I think you are SO wrong in saying that bail outs were the product of “a masonic branch or sect and a Talmudic Jewish sect / elite”. It may be comforting to you to imagine that it was all the result of “other” people rather than your own people betraying everything to maintain the value of paper wealth. BUT unless we face up to the reality that it was simply a case of the universal thrall of financial power addling the minds of everyone in power irrespective of their cultural backgrounds- we won’t be able to change and do things differently.
      I’ve had a go posting about the bailouts:
      http://directeconomicdemocracy.wordpress.com/2013/04/28/bail-out-the-customers-not-the-banks/

      1. The Dork of Cork.

        @Stone

        I posted a 1971 video about the Gaelic Poet Eoghan Rua back when that society imploded as a result of Cromwells invasion.

        What comes out from the interview of Dan Cronin in particular is the importance of middlemen to the operation (the system cannot function without them)

        So I of course do blame them.

        But I really try to get beyond this …to do so you must focus on the Pyramid and in particular the apex.

        The BIS and other organizations really make only a small amount of money in the great scheme of things but they have something must more important for the person or group who has everything.

        Political Power.

        You must imagine Ireland as a large sometimes badly run estate.

        But we need to get beyond the local agents don’t you think.

        The European council quite rightly does not refer to Ireland as a republic.

        This is some sort of strange inside joke within the elite.

        The leader of the country today called people to rally around the republic !!!!

        Even people with limited brain capacity must now be questioning the absurdity of the fiction we live in.

  13. The Dork of Cork.

    Damon Vrabel got closest to the core problem of our time in a simple and easily explained manner as the deception at its core is very simple hidden by vast complexity.

    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=O3PoefRljPM&list=PL88A96F7C0370118F

    Where vertical Hamiltonian money has crushed all of the society base …..in the past this has a return (but at huge cost)
    Now it has a negative cost but the money power has developed in such a fashion that it does not matter for the owners at the top anymore.
    Indeed I get the impression they consider it quite fun to crush the simple people as they have almost limitless resources to run down so why not ?

    I went to a Cork city political meeting last night.
    Declan Ganley wanted a further centralization of power in Europe so as to save us……..

    We in Cork city have had “problems” with Dublin Castle yet this man claiming to be a libertarian wishes to scale up power even further,
    Go figure.
    I got the impression most of the very limited imagination Cork upper middle class who attended this meeting bought it.

    Its all very sad.
    Needless to say the divided Norman / Gaelic culture of the 1600s was crushed by this Anglo Dutch banking cabal ………….yet they want more !!!!

    I just don’t get it anymore.

    “Over here – everything is managed as a cost center where money and power is reduced over time”

  14. Off topic (maybe?) the images/message from Brazil tonight are inspirational/frightening depending on your viewpoint!

  15. “No such thing is likely to happen. Instead, as 2013 progresses, a further downturn will become visible through the orchestrated statistics. This time the Fed will have to get the printed money past the banks and into the economy, and inflation will explode. The dollar will collapse, and import prices–as globalism has turned the US into an import-dependent economy–will turn high inflation into hyperinflation. Disruptions in food and energy deliveries will become widespread, and a depreciated currency will cease to be used as a means of exchange.”

    http://www.paulcraigroberts.org/2013/06/20/the-rational-market-myth-paul-craig-roberts/

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